The American campaign: U.S. presidential campaigns and the by James E. Campbell

By James E. Campbell

Reporting info and predicting traits throughout the 2008 crusade, this classroom-tested quantity bargains back James E. Campbell's "theory of the predictable campaign," incorporating the basic stipulations that systematically impact the presidential vote: political pageant, presidential incumbency, and election-year financial stipulations. Campbell's cogent considering and transparent kind current scholars with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists' methods of learning them. the yank crusade additionally indicates how and why newshounds have mistakenly assigned a development of unpredictability and significant importance to the vagaries of person campaigns.

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Additional resources for The American campaign: U.S. presidential campaigns and the national vote

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1 percentage points of the total presidential vote. 1. 1 Note: Each number is the percentage of all respondents with the indicated vote intention and reported vote choice. The table includes only those reported voting. Nonvoters and those who said that they intended not to vote for president are excluded. The data are from the NES 1996 survey and have not been corrected for the difference between the national reported and actual vote percentages for the candidates. The net effect of the 1996 presidential campaign was to reduce Clinton's lead over Dole by only 2 percentage points of the vote.

It has certainly been a pleasure to work on the research associated with this book in such a hospitable, professional, and supportive environment. Page xvii A number of people helped in one way or another in this project, and I would like to thank them. First, there are many political scientists whose work on voting behavior and presidential campaigns influenced me. The names of many of these scholars can be found among the references at the back of the book, but several deserve particular mention.

1 percentage points of the total presidential vote. 1. 1 Note: Each number is the percentage of all respondents with the indicated vote intention and reported vote choice. The table includes only those reported voting. Nonvoters and those who said that they intended not to vote for president are excluded. The data are from the NES 1996 survey and have not been corrected for the difference between the national reported and actual vote percentages for the candidates. The net effect of the 1996 presidential campaign was to reduce Clinton's lead over Dole by only 2 percentage points of the vote.

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