Japan Decides 2014: The Japanese General Election by Robert J. Pekkanen, Ethan Scheiner, Steven R. Reed
By Robert J. Pekkanen, Ethan Scheiner, Steven R. Reed
Gathering unique and high quality research through most sensible students from Japan, the us, Australia, and Europe, this quantity analyzes the result of the 2014 election, reading all of the significant political events, relevant coverage concerns, crusade practices, and considers how the consequences have been used as a mandate for enormous coverage reform.
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Extra info for Japan Decides 2014: The Japanese General Election
3 Actual and hypothetical LDP–Komeito coalition SMD winners in 2012 and 2014, by coordination scenario Actual number of SMDs won 2012 2014 246 of 300 232 of 295 Coalition seat bonus due to . . Bonus Seat total without bonus Bonus Seat total without bonus (Scenario 1) . . DPJ + Third Force coordination failure (Scenario 2) . . non-JCP/independent/minor party opposition coordination failure (Scenario 3) . . , JD 2012). This discrepancy is due to a calculation error that caused us to underestimate the costs to the opposition of poor coordination.
As a result, even more voters stayed home in 2014 than in 2012. Japan’s electoral system The electoral system for the HR is a parallel “mixed-member” system that combines 295 SMD seats allocated by plurality rule and 180 proportional representation (PR) seats separately allocated in 11 regional districts that vary in magnitude (number of seats) from 6 (in the Shikoku region) to 29 (in the Kinki region). Voters cast two ballots: one for a candidate in an SMD race and another for a party in a regional PR contest.
But, as we discussed above, some of those withdrawals were tactical decisions by the Big Opposition to coordinate better, fielding fewer candidates and therefore inducing abstentions, but winning more seats in the bargain. Perhaps most important, in an election in which millions more voters than ever before chose to stay home, the Coalition held on to its vote base from the previous election, while the non-Communist opposition as a group lost votes, mostly because it fielded fewer candidates. Conclusions In one sense, the 2014 results are encouraging for opponents of the current coalition.