Climate Strategy: Between Ambition and Realism (WRR by The Netherlands Scientific Council for Government Policy

By The Netherlands Scientific Council for Government Policy

In line with the UN-sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on weather swap, present worldwide alterations in weather are 90-95% more likely to were triggered, a minimum of partly, through human task. This not easy research of the present worldwide weather fight indicates 3 classes of important motion for fixing the weather challenge and demonstrates their viability: edition to the replaced weather, choice of around the globe thoughts for mitigation till 2050, and an across the world coordinated attempt to enforce those rules. A hugely readable and available addition to weather method and coverage, this quantity offers a refreshingly cutting edge examine present worldwide weather projects.

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Climate Strategy: Between Ambition and Realism (WRR Webpublicaties)

In response to the UN-sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on weather swap, present international adjustments in weather are 90-95% prone to were brought on, a minimum of partially, by way of human job. This demanding research of the present international weather fight indicates 3 classes of helpful motion for fixing the weather challenge and demonstrates their viability: edition to the replaced weather, choice of around the world innovations for mitigation till 2050, and an across the world coordinated attempt to enforce those guidelines.

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Some gains could however be made in the longer term from changed land use. Measures have been taken on a large scale to lower water levels and promote discharge. These increase the local discharge capacity and therefore raise the risk of flooding downstream. To some extent these measures could be implemented with less downstream impact. 42 adapting to a changing climate If climate change increases the discharge of water from the Rhine, new ways will have to be found of distributing the flooding between Germany and the Netherlands.

In combination with biomass, CCS can actually lead to the net removal of CO2 from the atmosphere. In combination with Enhanced Oil Recovery (Senior et al. 2004; Gielen and Podansky 2004; CIAB/IEA 2005), the oil extraction yield can be increased. 3 Separating emission reduction and energy transition In the period up to 2040-2050 which is so crucial for climate policy, the dominance of fossil energy will be impossible to break; there is too little time to bring about a sufficient improvement in the position of modern renewable energy.

On the other hand, the frequency of storms has reduced in the last fifty years, though of course this offers no guarantees for the coming century. 5% of GDP on measures to protect against the risk of flooding as ‘by no means infeasible’. Current spending is below this by around a factor of 3. This would seem to be on the (very) low side, because the value of the assets to be protected has increased significantly (expected value = probability times effect) and because increased prosperity also influences the risk preference (the price of risk).

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